Tag: Bayesian reasoning

^{Type
post

Author
Andrew McDiarmid

Date
February 18, 2025

Categories
Faith & Science
Physical Sciences
Tagged
, Bayesian reasoning, Big Bang, Bryan Callen, evidence, ID the Future, information, intelligent design, Michael Shermer, mind, nature, Return of the God Hypothesis, scientific debate, scientific investigation, Stephen Meyer, The Bryan Callen Show, universe}

Can Science Find God? Stephen Meyer vs. Michael Shermer

_{Andrew McDiarmid
February 18, 2025

Faith & Science, Physical Sciences

3}

Humans seem to be drawn in a certain direction toward truth and beauty. Is that an accident of nature? Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Jonathan McLatchie

Date
February 11, 2025

Categories
Biology
Evolution
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, atheism, Bayes factor, Bayes’s theorem, Bayesian reasoning, biological design, environmental fitness, Evolution News, ID the Future, intelligent design, physical constants, plausibility, podcast, prior probability, probabilities, theism}

When Building Our Case for Intelligent Design, How Should We Think About Prior Probability?

_{Jonathan McLatchie
February 11, 2025

Biology, Evolution, Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design

4}

Bayes’s theorem is a tool for modeling our evaluation of evidences to appropriately apportion the confidence in our conclusions to the strength of the evidence. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Elie Feder

Date
August 20, 2024

Categories
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Physical Sciences
Tagged
, Bayesian reasoning, chance, design hypothesis, evil, intelligent cause, intelligent life, likelihood, natural disasters, physical constants, probabilities, suffering, universe}

Considering the Fine-Tuning Argument from Probabilities

_{Elie Feder and Aaron Zimmer
August 20, 2024

Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design, Physical Sciences

4}

Many authors formulate the fine-tuning argument using probabilities and Bayesian analysis (e.g., Swinburne, Collins, Roberts, Barnes). Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Günter Bechly

Date
February 23, 2024

Categories
Evolution
Paleontology
Tagged
, Alan Feduccia, American Museum of Natural History, arachnids, Bayesian reasoning, Casey Luskin, common descent, Cretaceous, Darwinism, Evolution News, evolutionary biology, Fossil Friday (series), fossil record, Germany, modern birds, molecular biologists, molecular clock studies, New York Times, Paleogene, phylogenomics}

Fossil Friday: The Big Bang of Tertiary Birds and a Phylogenetic Mess

_{Günter Bechly
February 23, 2024

Evolution, Paleontology

31}

There was an abrupt origin, a burst of biological creativity, which is best explained by an infusion of new information from an intelligent agent. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Andrew McDiarmid

Date
January 20, 2024

Categories
Engineering
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, Bayesian reasoning, Charles Darwin, egg, evolutionary theory, foresight, forethought, ID the Future, Irreducible Complexity, Jonathan McLatchie, podcast, sexual reproduction, sperm}

Sex: Engineered for Success

_{Andrew McDiarmid
January 20, 2024

Engineering, Evolution, Intelligent Design

2}

Sexual reproduction depends on an irreducibly complex core of components for its success. Can we credit a gradual evolutionary process for this system? Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Andrew McDiarmid

Date
November 21, 2023

Categories
Biology
Evolution
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, Bayes’s theorem, Bayesian reasoning, Big Bang, biological information, biosphere, cells, environmental fitness, evolution, ID the Future, information, information processing, intelligent design, Irreducible Complexity, Jonathan McLatchie, likelihood, Lydia McGrew, nature, Thomas Bayes}

Bayesian Probability and Intelligent Design: A Beginner’s Guide

_{Andrew McDiarmid
November 21, 2023

Biology, Evolution, Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design

3}

If the phrase “Bayesian calculus” makes you want to run for the hills, you’re not alone! Bayesian logic can sound intimidating at first. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Andrew McDiarmid

Date
September 27, 2023

Categories
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Origin of Life
Tagged
, abiogenesis, Bayesian reasoning, chemical evolution, DNA, error catastrophe, error threshold, forensic biology, ID the Future, Jonathan McLatchie, natural selection, naturalism, podcast, RNA world, self-replicating molecules, self-replication}

Another Headache for the RNA World Theory

_{Andrew McDiarmid
September 27, 2023

Evolution, Intelligent Design, Origin of Life

2}

Before a trial and error process like natural selection can even get started, self-replicating molecules must have a minimal accuracy rate. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Jonathan McLatchie

Date
September 14, 2023

Categories
Biology
Chemistry
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Origin of Life
Tagged
, base pairs, Bayesian reasoning, BioCosmos, causal circularity, DNA, first life, intelligent design, Jack Szostak, likelihood ratio, mutations, naturalistic philosophy, proteins, replication fidelity, ribonucleotides, ribozymes, RNA, RNA world, self-replication, Sy Garte, teleology}

First Life Must Have Had a Minimally Reliable Replication System — A Conundrum for Materialists

_{Jonathan McLatchie
September 14, 2023

Biology, Chemistry, Evolution, Intelligent Design, Origin of Life

6}

On a design-based view, it is not particularly surprising that the first life would be finely optimized to reduce copying errors. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
William A. Dembski

Date
September 14, 2023

Categories
Neuroscience & Mind
Tagged
, artificial intelligence, Bayesian reasoning, ChatGPT, ChatGPT4, chess, Erik Larson, Google Bard, gun, inference to the best explanation, musicians, Noam Chomsky, piano, The Myth of Artificial Intelligence}

Inferring the Best Explanation via Artificial Intelligence

_{William A. Dembski
September 14, 2023

Neuroscience & Mind

14}

The analogy with chess is apt — computers play chess but in ways different from us by being able to brute force their way through millions more positions. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Günter Bechly

Date
April 25, 2022

Categories
Evolution
Human Exceptionalism
Intelligent Design
Paleontology
Tagged
, African elephants, amphibians, Asian elephants, Avalon explosion, Bayesian reasoning, birds, body plans, bottlenose dolphin, Cambrian Explosion, cattle, cedars, cetaceans, chimpanzees, European common frog, evolution, Extended Evolutionary Synthesis, Genesis, gorilla, great apes, Homo sapiens, horse, house sparrow, humans, hybridization, intelligent design, Judeo-Christian tradition, marine iguanas, moor frog, pygmy hippo, reptiles, river hippo, spectacled bear, whale evolution}

Species Pairs: A New Challenge to Darwinists

_{Günter Bechly
April 25, 2022

Evolution, Human Exceptionalism, Intelligent Design, Paleontology

21}

I consider this simple argument as a final nail in the coffin of Darwinian unguided evolution. Read More ›