Tag: Bayes factor

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
March 17, 2026

Categories
Cosmology
Faith & Science
Philosophy
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, assumptions, background information, Bayes factor, Bayes’s theorem, Bayesian confirmation theory, Bayesian reasoning, Clark Glymour, confidence, denominators, Dutch book argument, epistemic probabilities, evidence, fine-tuning, fine-tuning argument, general relativity, General Theory of Relativity, hypothesis, likelihood, likelihood ratio, marginal probability, mental state, Mercury, naturalism, Nevin Climenhaga, normalization factor, panpsychism, pantheism, posterior probability, prior probability, probabilities, psychological states, Sean Carroll, subjectivism, subjectivist Bayesianism, The Fine-Tuning Argument and Its Cultured Despisers (series), theism, universe}

Bayesian Methodology and the Fine-Tuning Argument

_{Bruce Gordon
March 17, 2026

Cosmology, Faith & Science, Philosophy

17}

To use Clark Glymour’s example, Einstein's general theory of relativity explained the anomalous precession of Mercury's perihelion. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Jonathan McLatchie

Date
February 11, 2025

Categories
Biology
Evolution
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, atheism, Bayes factor, Bayes’s theorem, Bayesian reasoning, biological design, environmental fitness, Evolution News, ID the Future, intelligent design, physical constants, plausibility, podcast, prior probability, probabilities, theism}

When Building Our Case for Intelligent Design, How Should We Think About Prior Probability?

_{Jonathan McLatchie
February 11, 2025

Biology, Evolution, Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design

4}

Bayes’s theorem is a tool for modeling our evaluation of evidences to appropriately apportion the confidence in our conclusions to the strength of the evidence. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Jonathan McLatchie

Date
June 22, 2023

Categories
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, bacteria, Bayes factor, Center for Science and Culture, citrate, Darwin Devolves, Darwin's Black Box, Dave Farina, Discovery Institute, eggs, embryos, Escherichia coli, evolution, goal-directedness, intelligent design, Irreducible Complexity, irreducibly complex systems, James Tour, likelihood, lizards, metabolites, Michael Behe, natural processes, Rice University, Scott Minnich, The Edge of Evolution, University of Idaho}

Answering Farina on Behe’s Work: Irreducible Complexity

_{Jonathan McLatchie
June 22, 2023

Evolution, Intelligent Design

14}

The first exhibit is Lenski’s long-term evolution experiment, in which, after some 33,000 generations, bacterial cells evolved the ability to grow on citrate. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Cornelius Hunter

Date
July 20, 2018

Categories
Intelligent Design
Physics
Tagged
, __k-review, accuracy, Albert Einstein, Aristotle, Bayes factor, Big Data, BIO-Complexity, Brian Miller, Charles Darwin, common descent, dependency graph, earth, epicycles, evolution, geocentrism, gravity, Isaac Newton, Johannes Kepler, Mars, Nicolaus Copernicus, Occam's Razor, parsimony, Ptolemy, Wikipedia, Winston Ewert}

New Paper by Winston Ewert Demonstrates Superiority of Design Model

_{Cornelius Hunter
July 20, 2018

Intelligent Design, Physics

9}

Winston Ewert’s results are a Copernican Revolution moment. Read More ›