Tag: probabilities

^{Type
post

Author
William A. Dembski

Date
October 4, 2026

Categories
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, algorithmic coding functions, American Scientific Affiliation, bookkeeping, Cambridge University Press, Charles Thaxton, Conservation of Information, crystals, Dembski’s Theorem, Discovery Institute, improbability, information, intelligent design, laws of nature, Leslie Orgel, mathematics, My Personal History with Information (series), No Free Lunch, Noam Chomsky, Paul Nelson, philosophers, probabilities, R. A. Fisher, Rob Koons, Roger Olsen, specified complexity, statistical inference, Stephen Meyer, The Design Inference, The Mystery of Life’s Origin, The Origins of Life, University of Chicago, University of Notre Dame, University of Texas, Walter Bradley, Whitworth College, William A. Dembski, William Shakespeare, Wolfgang Smith}

The Evolution of Specified Complexity

_{William A. Dembski
October 4, 2026

Evolution, Intelligent Design

9}

Wolfgang Smith’s excitement about conservation of complex specified information or specified complexity was not widely shared. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
March 17, 2026

Categories
Cosmology
Faith & Science
Philosophy
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, assumptions, background information, Bayes factor, Bayes’s theorem, Bayesian confirmation theory, Bayesian reasoning, Clark Glymour, confidence, denominators, Dutch book argument, epistemic probabilities, evidence, fine-tuning, fine-tuning argument, general relativity, General Theory of Relativity, hypothesis, likelihood, likelihood ratio, marginal probability, mental state, Mercury, naturalism, Nevin Climenhaga, normalization factor, panpsychism, pantheism, posterior probability, prior probability, probabilities, psychological states, Sean Carroll, subjectivism, subjectivist Bayesianism, The Fine-Tuning Argument and Its Cultured Despisers (series), theism, universe}

Bayesian Methodology and the Fine-Tuning Argument

_{Bruce Gordon
March 17, 2026

Cosmology, Faith & Science, Philosophy

17}

To use Clark Glymour’s example, Einstein's general theory of relativity explained the anomalous precession of Mercury's perihelion. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Jonathan McLatchie

Date
February 11, 2025

Categories
Biology
Evolution
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, atheism, Bayes factor, Bayes’s theorem, Bayesian reasoning, biological design, environmental fitness, Evolution News, ID the Future, intelligent design, physical constants, plausibility, podcast, prior probability, probabilities, theism}

When Building Our Case for Intelligent Design, How Should We Think About Prior Probability?

_{Jonathan McLatchie
February 11, 2025

Biology, Evolution, Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design

4}

Bayes’s theorem is a tool for modeling our evaluation of evidences to appropriately apportion the confidence in our conclusions to the strength of the evidence. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Elie Feder

Date
August 20, 2024

Categories
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Physical Sciences
Tagged
, Bayesian reasoning, chance, design hypothesis, evil, intelligent cause, intelligent life, likelihood, natural disasters, physical constants, probabilities, suffering, universe}

Considering the Fine-Tuning Argument from Probabilities

_{Elie Feder and Aaron Zimmer
August 20, 2024

Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design, Physical Sciences

4}

Many authors formulate the fine-tuning argument using probabilities and Bayesian analysis (e.g., Swinburne, Collins, Roberts, Barnes). Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Elie Feder

Date
August 19, 2024

Categories
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Physical Sciences
Tagged
, chance, design, intelligent agents, Lee Smolin, multiverse, physical constants, physicists, probabilities, universe, William Lane Craig}

Examining the Fine-Tuning Argument by Elimination

_{Elie Feder and Aaron Zimmer
August 19, 2024

Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design, Physical Sciences

4}

In his article “Has the Multiverse Replaced God?” William Lane Craig presents the fine-tuning argument using the process of elimination. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Elie Feder

Date
August 16, 2024

Categories
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Physical Sciences
Physics
Tagged
, Aaron Zimmer, atoms, electromagnetism, electrons, Elie Feder, galaxies, gravity, intelligent cause, intelligent design, life, Luke Barnes, Mass, matter, molecules, multiverse, planets, probabilities, Robin Collins, stars, universe, William Lane Craig}

Three Ways to Formulate the Fine-Tuning Argument: An Introduction

_{Elie Feder and Aaron Zimmer
August 16, 2024

Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design, Physical Sciences, Physics

4}

At the heart of fundamental physics are the laws of nature. These laws govern the interactions between fundamental particles. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
William A. Dembski

Date
April 17, 2024

Categories
Intelligent Design
Metascience
Science Education
Tagged
, archeology, biological origins, cryptography, data integrity, data science, Design Inference, Forensics, information, intelligent design, Nature (journal), physicists, Piltdown Man, plagiarism, probabilities, probability, randomness, Search for ExtraTerrestrial Intelligence, specification, Stanford University, University of Rochester, William A. Dembski, Winston Ewert}

Leveraging the Design Inference for Effectively Falsifying Data

_{William A. Dembski
April 17, 2024

Intelligent Design, Metascience, Science Education

15}

The academy raises generation after generation of inept data falsifiers who embrace the foolish naiveté that their shenanigans are immune to discovery. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
David Coppedge

Date
March 26, 2024

Categories
Intelligent Design
Life Sciences
Planetology
Tagged
, astrobiologists, astrobiology, atmosphere, biosphere, complex specified information, evolutionists, Gaia, humans, information, information processing, intelligent design, life, plate tectonics, PLOS Biology, probabilities, prokaryotes, Universe Today, University of Edinburgh, volcanoes, water}

Astrobiologists Offer an “Information-Based View of the Biosphere”

_{David Coppedge
March 26, 2024

Intelligent Design, Life Sciences, Planetology

7}

Even if their estimates need to be revised by a terabase or two someday, they have made it clear that our biosphere is awash in information. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Paul Nelson

Date
January 14, 2024

Categories
Chemistry
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Origin of Life
Tagged
, athens, early Earth, Epicurus, Eugene Koonin, evolution, molecular biology, probabilities, RNA}

Is Epicurus Smiling?

_{Paul Nelson
January 14, 2024

Chemistry, Evolution, Intelligent Design, Origin of Life

3}

Eugene Koonin pointed out that any abiogenesis scenario requires a cosmological background theory against which any local event probabilities must be evaluated. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Date
March 7, 2023

Categories
Human Exceptionalism
Intelligent Design
Neuroscience & Mind
Tagged
, algorithms, artificial intelligence, Bradley Center for Natural and Artificial Intelligence, computers, Discovery Institute, human beings, information, Non-Computable You, probabilities, Robert J. Marks II, The Federalist}

Marks: Human Exceptionalism in a World of AI

_{Science & Culture
March 7, 2023

Human Exceptionalism, Intelligent Design, Neuroscience & Mind

2}

“Ever wonder whether computers will one day be capable of doing everything that human beings can?” Read More ›