Tag: confidence

^{Type
post

Author
Rob Stadler

Date
May 26, 2026

Categories
Intelligent Design
Origin of Life
Scientific Reasoning
Tagged
, abiogenesis, assumptions, asteroids, bias, confidence, evidence, experiments, Gerald Joyce, investigator intervention, James Tour, Long Story Short, meteors, methodological naturalism, Miller-Urey experiment, murder, natural causes, natural processes, naturalism, origin of life, polymerase, repeatability, researchers, ribozyme, RNA, Science and Culture Today, scientists, self-replicating molecules, Sol Spiegelman, suicide, tabloids, water droplets}

Applying Scientific Method to the Origin of Life Yields Shaky Results

_{Rob Stadler
May 26, 2026

Intelligent Design, Origin of Life, Scientific Reasoning

7}

Scientists are not, or should not be, tabloid headline writers. They should only make claims that are strongly supported by evidence. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Andrew McDiarmid

Date
March 20, 2026

Categories
Biology
Evolution
Tagged
, biochemical pathways, confidence, Eric Anderson, evolutionary process, explanatory power, generations, genes, homology, ID the Future, laboratory studies, mechanisms, medical engineers, mutations, Neo-Darwinism, organisms, podcast, Rob Stadler, survival, textbooks, two-mutation gap}

Rob Stadler on the “Low Confidence” Science of Darwinism

_{Andrew McDiarmid
March 20, 2026

Biology, Evolution

2}

Across experiments involving bacteria and yeast, researchers found that while evolution can occasionally fix a single point mutation. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
March 17, 2026

Categories
Cosmology
Faith & Science
Philosophy
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, assumptions, background information, Bayes factor, Bayes’s theorem, Bayesian confirmation theory, Bayesian reasoning, Clark Glymour, confidence, denominators, Dutch book argument, epistemic probabilities, evidence, fine-tuning, fine-tuning argument, general relativity, General Theory of Relativity, hypothesis, likelihood, likelihood ratio, marginal probability, mental state, Mercury, naturalism, Nevin Climenhaga, normalization factor, panpsychism, pantheism, posterior probability, prior probability, probabilities, psychological states, Sean Carroll, subjectivism, subjectivist Bayesianism, The Fine-Tuning Argument and Its Cultured Despisers (series), theism, universe}

Bayesian Methodology and the Fine-Tuning Argument

_{Bruce Gordon
March 17, 2026

Cosmology, Faith & Science, Philosophy

17}

To use Clark Glymour’s example, Einstein's general theory of relativity explained the anomalous precession of Mercury's perihelion. Read More ›

red pulsating heart with veins, anatomy of a human organ, on a blue background with bokeh

^{Type
post

Author
Andrew McDiarmid

Date
March 17, 2026

Categories
Medicine
Technology
Tagged
, atrial fibrillation, confidence, database, Eric Anderson, evidence, headlines, medical claims, medical world, patients, rigor, Science News, scientific claims}

High Confidence? Low Confidence? Six Criteria for Science Claims

_{Andrew McDiarmid
March 17, 2026

Medicine, Technology

2}

To illustrate the difference between high and low confidence science, Rob Stadler shares a humbling story from his career in medical devices. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Rob Stadler

Date
February 3, 2026

Categories
Biology
Evolution
Tagged
, assumptions, Bill Nye, common ancestor, common ancestry, confidence, designers, evidence, evolution, fossil record, hedging, homology, intelligent design, lifeforms, phylogenetic trees, prospective study, repeatability, Richard Dawkins, The Greatest Show on Earth, Undeniable: Evolution and the Science of Creation, vertebrate skeleton, vertebrates, When Can I Trust What Scientists Say? (series)}

When Can I Trust Scientists About Evolution?

_{Rob Stadler
February 3, 2026

Biology, Evolution

4}

The most commonly cited areas of evidence in favor of common ancestry include the fossil record and homology. Read More ›

Diverse group of professional scientists talking at the lab

^{Type
post

Author
Rob Stadler

Date
February 2, 2026

Categories
Medicine
Scientific Reasoning
Scientific Trustworthiness
Tagged
, amplification, assumptions, atrial fibrillation, bias, claims, clinical trials, confidence, doctors, evidence, evolution, extrapolation, heart rhythm, medical guidelines, medication, medicine, outcomes, patients, proof, prospective study, regulatory bodies, repeatability, retrospective observational study, When Can I Trust What Scientists Say? (series)}

When Can I Trust What Scientists Say?

_{Rob Stadler
February 2, 2026

Medicine, Scientific Reasoning, Scientific Trustworthiness

6}

Claims are based on evidence, and different kinds and quantities of evidence provide different levels of confidence. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Rob Stadler

Date
January 14, 2026

Categories
Biology
Evolution
Tagged
, clinical evidence, confidence, evidence, evolution, experimental evidence, experimental evolution studies, experimental studies, fossil record, innovation, James Tour, medicine, Rice University, scientific evidence, scientific fields}

With James Tour, I Have Been Assessing the Evidence for Evolutionary Innovation

_{Rob Stadler
January 14, 2026

Biology, Evolution

3}

The evidence that is most often presented in support of evolution (i.e., the fossil record and homology) fails to meet the criteria for providing confidence. Read More ›