Tag: likelihood ratio

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
March 17, 2026

Categories
Cosmology
Faith & Science
Philosophy
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, assumptions, background information, Bayes factor, Bayes’s theorem, Bayesian confirmation theory, Bayesian reasoning, Clark Glymour, confidence, denominators, Dutch book argument, epistemic probabilities, evidence, fine-tuning, fine-tuning argument, general relativity, General Theory of Relativity, hypothesis, likelihood, likelihood ratio, marginal probability, mental state, Mercury, naturalism, Nevin Climenhaga, normalization factor, panpsychism, pantheism, posterior probability, prior probability, probabilities, psychological states, Sean Carroll, subjectivism, subjectivist Bayesianism, The Fine-Tuning Argument and Its Cultured Despisers (series), theism, universe}

Bayesian Methodology and the Fine-Tuning Argument

_{Bruce Gordon
March 17, 2026

Cosmology, Faith & Science, Philosophy

17}

To use Clark Glymour’s example, Einstein's general theory of relativity explained the anomalous precession of Mercury's perihelion. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
February 18, 2026

Categories
Cosmology
Intelligent Design
Physics
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, Bayesian reasoning, cosmology, fine-tuning, Hans Halvorson, Humean probabilities, likelihood ratio, Luke Barnes, mathematicians, metaphysics, monotheistic tradition, multiverse, Ned Hall, Nevin Climenhaga, personal beliefs, philosophers, philosophy, plausibility, podcasters, Presbyterians, priors, probability, psychological states, Robin Collins, Sean Carroll, spacetime, subjective inclinations, The Fine-Tuning Argument and Its Cultured Despisers (series), theism, theology, theoretical physicists, Thomas Bayes}

Framing a Finely Tuned Response to a Chorus of Critical “Carrollers”

_{Bruce Gordon
February 18, 2026

Cosmology, Intelligent Design, Physics

11}

Using Sean Carroll’s criticisms of the fine-tuning argument as a general guide, I propose to address objections to that argument. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Andrew McDiarmid

Date
April 20, 2024

Categories
Biology
Chemistry
Geology
Intelligent Design
Life Sciences
Physical Sciences
Physics
Rare Earth
Technology
Tagged
, agriculture, Andrew McDiarmid, Brian Miller, cooking, earth, evidence, fire, food, foresight, gold, hunting, ID the Future, intelligent design, iron, likelihood ratio, physicists, plate tectonics, soil, technological advancement, universe, water cycle}

How Earth is Designed for Human Technology

_{Andrew McDiarmid
April 20, 2024

Biology, Chemistry, Geology, Intelligent Design, Life Sciences, Physical Sciences, Physics, Rare Earth, Technology

3}

Is all this a coincidence? We think that’s a stretch. One or two fortunate parameters might be called a fluke. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Jonathan McLatchie

Date
September 14, 2023

Categories
Biology
Chemistry
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Origin of Life
Tagged
, base pairs, Bayesian reasoning, BioCosmos, causal circularity, DNA, first life, intelligent design, Jack Szostak, likelihood ratio, mutations, proteins, ribozymes, RNA, RNA world, self-replication, Sy Garte, teleology}

First Life Must Have Had a Minimally Reliable Replication System — A Conundrum for Materialists

_{Jonathan McLatchie
September 14, 2023

Biology, Chemistry, Evolution, Intelligent Design, Origin of Life

6}

On a design-based view, it is not particularly surprising that the first life would be finely optimized to reduce copying errors. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Date
May 16, 2023

Categories
Biology
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, bacterial flagellar motor, Boston, cell division, Center for Science and Culture, Discovery Institute, DNA replication, evolution, evolutionary biology, ID the Future, intelligent design, Irreducible Complexity, irreducibly complex systems, Jonathan McLatchie, likelihood ratio, materialists}

Jonathan McLatchie on Classic Examples of Irreducibly Complex Systems

_{Science & Culture
May 16, 2023

Biology, Evolution, Intelligent Design

2}

Dr. McLatchie explains the “likelihood ratio” of the evidence for irreducible complexity, a top-heavy ratio he says strongly supports a design hypothesis. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Bethel McGrew

Date
August 2, 2021

Categories
Faith & Science
Intelligent Design
Origin of Life
Philosophy
Tagged
, abduction, Bayesian reasoning, computer code, David Berlinski, God Hypothesis, inference to the best explanation, intelligent agency, intelligent design, James Croft, likelihood ratio, philosophers, probability, Return of the God Hypothesis, St. Louis, Stephen Meyer, Substack, syllogism, Unbelievable, universal probability bound, William A. Dembski}

Stephen Meyer, James Croft: Philosophers Battle Over the God Hypothesis

_{Bethel McGrew
August 2, 2021

Faith & Science, Intelligent Design, Origin of Life, Philosophy

7}

Croft ultimately had the worse of the argument on substance, as I intend to show over several forthcoming posts. Read More ›