Tag: probability

^{Type
post

Author
William A. Dembski

Date
October 13, 2026

Categories
Historical Sciences
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, archaeology, CELS, Conference on Engineering in Living Systems, forensic science, historical sciences, information, information theory, informational resources, intelligence, intelligence metrics, intelligent design, My Personal History with Information (series), peer review, PowerPoint, probability, search, SETI, William Dembski}

Recent Work: A Theory of Intelligence Metrics

_{William A. Dembski
October 13, 2026

Historical Sciences, Intelligent Design

2}

"A standardized inferential method has emerged for SETI, archaeology, forensic science, and the historical sciences generally." Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
William A. Dembski

Date
October 8, 2026

Categories
Intelligent Design
Scientific Reasoning
Tagged
, active information, Amazon, Biological Information: New Perspectives, Cornell University, endogenous information, exogenous information, George Montañez, German, IEEE Transactions, intelligent design, Intelligent Systems Reference Library, John Sanford, My Personal History with Information (series), peer-reviewed literature, probability, Robert J. Marks II, Singapore, Springer, Technical University of Berlin, University of Erlangen, William A. Dembski, Winston Ewert, World Scientific}

Breaking into the Peer-Reviewed Engineering Literature

_{William A. Dembski
October 8, 2026

Intelligent Design, Scientific Reasoning

5}

The book had been typeset. Amazon announced it for preorder. And then, with less than six weeks to publication, anti-ID forces sprang into action. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
William A. Dembski

Date
October 3, 2026

Categories
Intelligent Design
Mathematics
Philosophy of Science
Tagged
, Alexander Hall, Arthur Fine, Bill Wimsatt, David Hull, David Malament, design detection, divorce, doctoral studies, Douglas Axe, Edward Teller, evolution, intelligent design, J. Gresham Machen, Jonathan Wells, mathematics, Michael Behe, My Personal History with Information (series), natural theology, Northwestern University, Paul Nelson, Paul Teller, Phillip E. Johnson, philosophy, philosophy of science, Princeton Theological Seminary, Princeton University, probability, Sisyphus, specification, specified complexity, Stephen Meyer, The Design Inference, University of Illinois at Chicago, University of Pittsburgh, William Paley, Winston Ewert}

Philosophy, Theology, and an Inference to Design

_{William A. Dembski
October 3, 2026

Intelligent Design, Mathematics, Philosophy of Science

7}

My dissertation on the logic of conditionals came to seems like the rock of Sisyphus. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
William A. Dembski

Date
September 28, 2026

Categories
Intelligent Design
Mathematics
Tagged
, A. E. Wilder-Smith, design community, entropy, Ergodic Theory and Information, Evanston Public Library, formalism, improbability, information, information theory, Journal of Theoretical Probability, Leo Kadanoff, mathematics, nonlinear dynamics, Patrick Billingsley, physics, probability, Probability and Measure, probability theory, randomness, specified complexity, uniform probability distribution, Wolf Prize}

My Mathematical Development: Probability and Improbability

_{William A. Dembski
September 28, 2026

Intelligent Design, Mathematics

3}

As it is, probabilities are everywhere in information theory, and yet probability theory and information theory have a very different feel. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Winston Ewert

Date
September 23, 2026

Categories
Intelligent Design
Scientific Reasoning
Tagged
, calculations, description, evolution, intelligent design, lake, logic, material, probability, rocks, scientific reasoning, specified complexity, stair-maker, staircase, stairs, steps, The Design Inference, words}

Stairs on a Lake: Inference to Design?

_{Winston Ewert
September 23, 2026

Intelligent Design, Scientific Reasoning

3}

Why exactly was I immediately convinced that someone had deliberately created the staircase? The material for the staircase, after all, is unremarkable. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Stephen J. Iacoboni

Date
June 30, 2026

Categories
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, "God of the gaps", agency, Aristotle, biologists, Charles Darwin, chemistry, complexity, emergence, Erwin Schrödinger, evolution, flowers, function, G. H. Lewes, ime's Second Arrow, improbability, intelligent design, Jack Szostak, Jean-Baptiste Lamarck, language, Life Itself, machines, materialists, mechanism, metaphysics, Michael Behe, Michael Polanyi, Michael Wong, natural selection, naturalism, organisms, physics, probability, purpose, RNA, Robert Hazen, Robert Rosen, science of purpose, Second Law of Thermodynamics, specified irreducible complexity, telos, Thomas Jefferson, Time's Second Arrow}

Misinterpreting Teleology: Another Attempt to Salvage Materialism

_{Stephen J. Iacoboni
June 30, 2026

Evolution, Intelligent Design

8}

It’s a “self-evident truth,” as Thomas Jefferson, an early ID proponent himself, might have put it: organisms necessarily exist by virtue of purpose. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
George Montañez

Date
June 1, 2026

Categories
Intelligent Design
Mathematics
Origin of Life
Tagged
, alphabet, books, bookshelves, Claude, fair coin, fiction, Hebrew, hexagons, implausible, implossibility, implossible, impossible, intelligent design, Jorge Luis Borges, letters, library, Monty Python, peer-reviewed literature, probability, punctuation, spaces, The Library of Babel, universe, Vindications, World Cup, zero}

On Implossibility (No, Spell-Check Didn’t Fail Me)

_{George Montañez
June 1, 2026

Intelligent Design, Mathematics, Origin of Life

6}

What is the probability of forming a book with at least one hundred words in a row, if we are sampling from the Hebrew alphabet? Read More ›

Two dice bouncing with sparks. Concept for probability and random choice. Casino gambling and gaming.

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
May 19, 2026

Categories
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Physics
Tagged
, Anthony Aguirre, Battle of the Big Bang, beans, Caltech, Christopher Hitchcock, cosmos, Daniel Díaz-Pachón, debates, dice, dimensional analysis, fine-tuning, Frank Wilczek, Fred Adams, general relativity, intelligent design, Justin Brierley, Luke Barnes, Martin Rees, Max Tegmark, normalizability, Ola Hössjer, parameter space, Phil Halper, physics, Planck scale, posterior probability, prior probability, probability, Robert Marks, Robin Collins, Standard Model, Stephen Meyer, theism}

Halper and Meyer on Inscrutable Dice and Cosmological Fine-Tuning

_{Bruce Gordon
May 19, 2026

Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design, Physics

15}

Phil Halper has argued against a position that no one holds, and his argument as a whole lays claim to the very capacity his objection denies. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
March 27, 2026

Categories
Fine-tuning
Philosophy
Physics
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, background knowledge, Bayesian formalism, Bayesian reasoning, belief, Big Bang, calculus, conditionalization, cosmology, deductive logic, Dutch book arguments, fine-tuning, Fisherian hypothesis testing, inference to the best explanation, John Maynard Keynes, logic, Mercury, naturalism, Nevin Climenhaga, null distributions, philosophy, precession, probability, propositions, psychological states, rejection regions, Sean Carroll, Socrates, subjective interpretation, syllogism, The Fine-Tuning Argument and Its Cultured Despisers (series)}

The Objective Probability of the Fine-Tuning Evidence

_{Bruce Gordon
March 27, 2026

Fine-tuning, Philosophy, Physics

11}

Science and philosophy aim to explain aspects of the world and of our experience, and both offer judgments about what is correct or incorrect. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
February 18, 2026

Categories
Cosmology
Intelligent Design
Physics
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, Bayesian reasoning, cosmology, fine-tuning, Hans Halvorson, Humean probabilities, likelihood ratio, Luke Barnes, mathematicians, metaphysics, monotheistic tradition, multiverse, Ned Hall, Nevin Climenhaga, personal beliefs, philosophers, philosophy, plausibility, podcasters, Presbyterians, priors, probability, psychological states, Robin Collins, Sean Carroll, spacetime, subjective inclinations, The Fine-Tuning Argument and Its Cultured Despisers (series), theism, theology, theoretical physicists, Thomas Bayes}

Framing a Finely Tuned Response to a Chorus of Critical “Carrollers”

_{Bruce Gordon
February 18, 2026

Cosmology, Intelligent Design, Physics

11}

Using Sean Carroll’s criticisms of the fine-tuning argument as a general guide, I propose to address objections to that argument. Read More ›