Tag: probability

^{Type
post

Author
Stephen J. Iacoboni

Date
June 30, 2026

Categories
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, "God of the gaps", agency, Aristotle, biologists, Charles Darwin, chemistry, complexity, emergence, Erwin Schrödinger, evolution, flowers, function, G. H. Lewes, ime's Second Arrow, improbability, intelligent design, Jack Szostak, Jean-Baptiste Lamarck, language, Life Itself, machines, materialists, mechanism, metaphysics, Michael Behe, Michael Polanyi, Michael Wong, natural selection, naturalism, organisms, physics, probability, purpose, RNA, Robert Hazen, Robert Rosen, science of purpose, Second Law of Thermodynamics, specified irreducible complexity, telos, Thomas Jefferson, Time's Second Arrow}

Misinterpreting Teleology: Another Attempt to Salvage Materialism

_{Stephen J. Iacoboni
June 30, 2026

Evolution, Intelligent Design

8}

It’s a “self-evident truth,” as Thomas Jefferson, an early ID proponent himself, might have put it: organisms necessarily exist by virtue of purpose. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
George Montañez

Date
June 1, 2026

Categories
Intelligent Design
Mathematics
Origin of Life
Tagged
, alphabet, books, bookshelves, Claude, fair coin, fiction, Hebrew, hexagons, implausible, implossibility, implossible, impossible, intelligent design, Jorge Luis Borges, letters, library, Monty Python, peer-reviewed literature, probability, punctuation, spaces, The Library of Babel, universe, Vindications, World Cup, zero}

On Implossibility (No, Spell-Check Didn’t Fail Me)

_{George Montañez
June 1, 2026

Intelligent Design, Mathematics, Origin of Life

6}

What is the probability of forming a book with at least one hundred words in a row, if we are sampling from the Hebrew alphabet? Read More ›

Two dice bouncing with sparks. Concept for probability and random choice. Casino gambling and gaming.

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
May 19, 2026

Categories
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Physics
Tagged
, Anthony Aguirre, Battle of the Big Bang, beans, Caltech, Christopher Hitchcock, cosmos, Daniel Díaz-Pachón, debates, dice, dimensional analysis, fine-tuning, Frank Wilczek, Fred Adams, general relativity, intelligent design, Justin Brierley, Luke Barnes, Martin Rees, Max Tegmark, normalizability, Ola Hössjer, parameter space, Phil Halper, physics, Planck scale, posterior probability, prior probability, probability, Robert Marks, Robin Collins, Standard Model, Stephen Meyer, theism}

Halper and Meyer on Inscrutable Dice and Cosmological Fine-Tuning

_{Bruce Gordon
May 19, 2026

Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design, Physics

15}

Phil Halper has argued against a position that no one holds, and his argument as a whole lays claim to the very capacity his objection denies. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
March 27, 2026

Categories
Fine-tuning
Philosophy
Physics
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, background knowledge, Bayesian formalism, Bayesian reasoning, belief, Big Bang, calculus, conditionalization, cosmology, deductive logic, Dutch book arguments, fine-tuning, Fisherian hypothesis testing, inference to the best explanation, John Maynard Keynes, logic, Mercury, naturalism, Nevin Climenhaga, null distributions, philosophy, precession, probability, propositions, psychological states, rejection regions, Sean Carroll, Socrates, subjective interpretation, syllogism, The Fine-Tuning Argument and Its Cultured Despisers (series)}

The Objective Probability of the Fine-Tuning Evidence

_{Bruce Gordon
March 27, 2026

Fine-tuning, Philosophy, Physics

11}

Science and philosophy aim to explain aspects of the world and of our experience, and both offer judgments about what is correct or incorrect. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Bruce Gordon

Date
February 18, 2026

Categories
Cosmology
Intelligent Design
Physics
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, Bayesian reasoning, cosmology, fine-tuning, Hans Halvorson, Humean probabilities, likelihood ratio, Luke Barnes, mathematicians, metaphysics, monotheistic tradition, multiverse, Ned Hall, Nevin Climenhaga, personal beliefs, philosophers, philosophy, plausibility, podcasters, Presbyterians, priors, probability, psychological states, Robin Collins, Sean Carroll, spacetime, subjective inclinations, The Fine-Tuning Argument and Its Cultured Despisers (series), theism, theology, theoretical physicists, Thomas Bayes}

Framing a Finely Tuned Response to a Chorus of Critical “Carrollers”

_{Bruce Gordon
February 18, 2026

Cosmology, Intelligent Design, Physics

11}

Using Sean Carroll’s criticisms of the fine-tuning argument as a general guide, I propose to address objections to that argument. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Eric Hedin

Date
February 11, 2026

Categories
Cosmology
Physics
Tagged
, Alex O’Connor, Bible, cosmologists, electromagnetic force, engineering, fine-tuning, gears, Genesis, gravitational force, Hugh Ross, intelligent design, life, logical necessity, mechanical watches, multiverse, natural agency, naturalism, parameters, physical parameters, probability, Psalmist, Psalms, religious faith, Sean Carroll, The Creator and the Cosmos, theism, theists, theology, time-keeping, universe, watchmaking, wheelbarrow, world view}

Wheelbarrows, Watches, and Designers: More on Sean Carroll

_{Eric Hedin
February 11, 2026

Cosmology, Physics

7}

Describing luxury mechanical watches as “marvels of engineering and design” is not a religiously motivated claim. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
William A. Dembski

Date
February 9, 2026

Categories
Intelligent Design
Mathematics
Science Education
Tagged
, A Nation at Risk, abstraction, Alex Thomas, American Mathematical Society, Beatles, Bolivia, calculus, Chicago, Claremont Graduate University, compassion, competence, courage, CRISPR, Critical Mathematics Pedagogy, Defying Low Expectations, designer babies, discipline, East Los Angeles, education, Edward James Olmos, Escalante: The Best Teacher in America, Gale Pooley, Garfield High School, George Martin, Henry Gradillas, Hispanics, inference, information, Inkwell Press, intelligence, intelligence quotient, intelligent design, Jaime Escalante, Jay Mathews, Jerry Jesness, Kappan Magazine, Lewis Terman, Los Angeles, Mary Poplin, mathematics, modeling, Pedagogy of the Oppressed, probability, Programme for International Student Assessment, reasoning, Roland Fryer, search space, Stand and Deliver, standards, test scores, University of Chicago, Wall Street Journal, William James}

Jaime Escalante: Why a Heroic Teacher Matters to Intelligent Design

_{William A. Dembski
February 9, 2026

Intelligent Design, Mathematics, Science Education

36}

Anyone who has studied the history of IQ testing and eugenics will recognize the weaponization of low expectations against people deemed inferior. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Granville Sewell

Date
February 6, 2026

Categories
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Physics
Tagged
, atoms, BIO-Complexity, civilization, computers, Darwinists, disorder, earth, encyclopedias, entropy, equations, evolution, information, intelligence, intelligent design, iPhones, machines, order, physics, probability, Science and Culture Today, Second Law of Thermodynamics, solar energy, sun, tautology, tornado}

A Friend Asks: For Darwin Skeptics, What Does the Second Law Argument Accomplish?

_{Granville Sewell
February 6, 2026

Evolution, Intelligent Design, Physics

6}

The only law of science that the development of civilization on a barren planet could violate is the (generalized) second law of thermodynamics. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Jonathan McLatchie

Date
January 14, 2026

Categories
Fine-tuning
Intelligent Design
Physics
Tagged
, Bayesian inference, Bayesian reasoning, causal ramification, chance, cosmic design, fine-tuning, fine-tuning arguments, improbability, intelligent design, Journal for General Philosophy of Science, King’s College London, multiverse, observation biases, philosophy, physical laws, physicists, physics, probability, Roberto Fumagalli, theism, universe}

New Peer-Reviewed Paper Defends Cosmic Fine-Tuning Argument

_{Jonathan McLatchie
January 14, 2026

Fine-tuning, Intelligent Design, Physics

11}

Fumagalli does not in the end state whether he himself lands on the multiverse hypothesis, cosmic design, or unknown physics as the best explanation. Read More ›

^{Type
post

Author
Andrew McDiarmid

Date
July 23, 2024

Categories
Biology
Evolution
Intelligent Design
Tagged
, "survival of the fittest", Casey Luskin, David Hullender, evolution, ID the Future, macroevolution, Neo-Darwinism, Olen Brown, podcast, probability, scientists, species, University of Missouri, University of Texas}

Can Darwinian Evolution Be Rescued from Dogma?

_{Andrew McDiarmid
July 23, 2024

Biology, Evolution, Intelligent Design

2}

Casey Luskin begins a conversation with two distinguished PhD scientists who are asking tough questions of neo-Darwinism. Read More ›